Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Bennett 47.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.8%
Defensive zone
Bennett 83.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Tkachuk
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Tkachuk
Bennett
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
7
Tkachuk
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
46.8% (5,714)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
53.6% (558)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
41.8% (256)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bennett
Home
50.7% (1,435)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bennett
P1
49.4%
48.0%
P2
51.3%
46.5%
P3
49.1%
46.8%
OT
55.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |