Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 81.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 85.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tkachuk
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
50.0% (46)
+4.9%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lafferty
Home
50.8% (128)
47.8% (23)
Away
62.9% (132)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lafferty
P1
56.6%
53.3%
P2
58.9%
55.6%
P3
56.2%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%