Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.8%). Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Laughton 55.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.2%
Defensive zone
Laughton 93.6%
Neutral zone
Laughton 58.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Tkachuk
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tkachuk
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
54.5% (488)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
85.7% (7)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
63.4% (142)
+36.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Laughton
Home
50.8% (128)
57.5% (275)
Away
62.9% (132)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Tkachuk
Laughton
P1
56.6%
56.0%
P2
58.9%
61.8%
P3
56.2%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |