Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 72.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Tkachuk
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Tkachuk
Crosby
Last 10: Tkachuk 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
2
Tkachuk
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
12
Tkachuk
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
52.8% (18,031)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
57.4% (4,741)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
47.0% (766)
-2.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Crosby
Home
50.7% (1,435)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Tkachuk
Crosby
P1
49.4%
53.6%
P2
51.3%
53.8%
P3
49.1%
53.3%
OT
55.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |