Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.5%). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Stamkos 55.4% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 77.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Tkachuk
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
57.1% (368)
-2.2%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
55.2% (96)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (10)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Home
50.8% (128)
53.9% (230)
Away
62.9% (132)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stamkos
P1
56.6%
56.7%
P2
58.9%
54.1%
P3
56.2%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%