Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.0%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Blueger 50.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 80.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 50.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Tkachuk
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Tkachuk
Blueger
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
9
0
Tkachuk
Blueger
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
4
Tkachuk
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
52.2% (3,582)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
50.6% (77)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.7% (1,103)
+2.3%
On even strength, Blueger has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Blueger
Home
50.7% (1,435)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Tkachuk
Blueger
P1
49.4%
49.2%
P2
51.3%
52.2%
P3
49.1%
48.6%
OT
55.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |