Brandon Dubinsky vs Brock Nelson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Nelson 48.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 32-26 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 58.2%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 81.3%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 70.3%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Dubinsky
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
26
(58 meetings)
32
26
Dubinsky
Nelson
Last 10: Dubinsky 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
8
Dubinsky
Nelson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
19
10
Dubinsky
Nelson
29 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Dubinsky
Nelson
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
47.9% (9,744)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
54.7% (1,149)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
43.8% (790)
+4.1%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Dubinsky shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Nelson
Home
54.8% (4,265)
50.1% (5,878)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
46.5% (5,806)
By Period
Dubinsky
Nelson
P1
53.8%
48.7%
P2
54.3%
48.6%
P3
51.6%
47.7%
OT
51.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |