Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hagel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hagel wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 46.3% vs Hischier 55.4% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 59.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Hagel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hagel
Hischier
Last 6: Hagel 3-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Hagel
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hagel
1
0
Hagel
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hagel
2
1
Hagel
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
55.5% (1,172)
-8.0%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
64.5% (265)
-47.8%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
43.9% (164)
-12.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hagel is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Hagel shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Hagel
Hischier
Home
45.0% (40)
56.8% (791)
Away
31.8% (22)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Hagel
Hischier
P1
35.0%
56.0%
P2
42.1%
58.6%
P3
43.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
40.3%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Hagel |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Brandon Hagel |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Hagel |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |