Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 46.3% vs Donato 47.1% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Donato 58.2%
Defensive zone
Donato 59.8%
Neutral zone
Hagel 55.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Hagel
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
46.8% (297)
+0.7%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
41.0% (39)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
100.0% (1)
-68.7%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +68.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hagel is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Hagel shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Hagel
Donato
Home
45.0% (40)
45.8% (142)
Away
31.8% (22)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Hagel
Donato
P1
35.0%
49.5%
P2
42.1%
45.7%
P3
43.5%
43.4%
Final 5 min
30.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
40.3%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%