Scouting Report
Brandon Hagel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 40.3% vs Smith 39.9% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Hagel 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hagel 54.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.6%
Result
Brandon Hagel favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Hagel
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (246)
33.5% (194)
+3.5%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
48.1% (27)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
50.0% (2)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Hagel is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hagel shoots left. Smith is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Hagel
Smith
Home
38.4% (159)
33.6% (128)
Away
35.8% (148)
37.9% (95)
By Period
Hagel
Smith
P1
35.7%
37.1%
P2
34.9%
33.8%
P3
40.9%
33.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
28.8%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
37.1%
Smith
36.0%▬
37.0%
35.4%