Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.1%). Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Prust 50.3% vs Kelly 50.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prust 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.2%
Neutral zone
Prust 53.1%
Result
Brandon Prust favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Prust
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Prust
Kelly
Last 5: Prust 3-2 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Prust
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Prust
2
0
Prust
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Prust
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (181)
51.1% (3,010)
-0.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
60.6% (71)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (49)
44.7% (689)
+2.2%
On power play, Prust has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Prust is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Prust shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Home / Away
Prust
Kelly
Home
52.0% (127)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
48.6% (109)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Prust
Kelly
P1
48.6%
49.2%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
48.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Prust
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.4%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Brandon Prust |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Brandon Prust |