Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +26.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 45.0% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-26.4%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 70.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Saad
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
32.1% (28)
55.7% (856)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.0% (144)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Saad is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Saad shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Saad
O'Reilly
Home
37.5% (16)
55.5% (616)
Away
20.0% (15)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Saad
O'Reilly
P1
41.2%
58.1%
P2
16.7%
54.9%
P3
0.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
29.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%