Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.4% vs Zegras 43.3% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 50.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 56.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Saad
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (21)
39.8% (128)
+7.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
22.2% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Saad has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Saad is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Saad shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Saad
Zegras
Home
45.0% (20)
29.7% (74)
Away
37.5% (8)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Saad
Zegras
P1
41.7%
40.7%
P2
55.6%
35.1%
P3
28.6%
41.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%