Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Lazar 49.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 81.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.4%
Neutral zone
Point 56.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Point
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Point
Lazar
Last 8: Point 3-5 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
4
Point
Lazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
50.2% (2,665)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
52.3% (65)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
41.9% (415)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Point
Lazar
Home
49.0% (3,754)
50.1% (1,549)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Point
Lazar
P1
46.8%
48.9%
P2
51.3%
48.9%
P3
48.0%
49.5%
OT
52.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Brayden Point |