Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Mercer 39.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Point leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 79.3%
Defensive zone
Point 76.0%
Neutral zone
Point 74.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Point
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Point
Mercer
Last 10: Point 6-4 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
0
Point
Mercer
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Point
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
3
Point
Mercer
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
39.1% (1,412)
+9.2%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
41.1% (90)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
41.3% (46)
-2.8%
On power play, Point has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Mercer is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Point
Mercer
Home
49.0% (3,754)
40.1% (756)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Point
Mercer
P1
46.8%
38.2%
P2
51.3%
39.2%
P3
48.0%
41.2%
OT
52.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |