Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Larkin 52.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 73.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.3%
Neutral zone
Point 54.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Point
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Point
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
51.1% (915)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
59.4% (261)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.2% (168)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
46.6% (264)
51.7% (686)
Away
46.4% (302)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
46.3%
52.5%
P2
45.5%
52.7%
P3
48.6%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Brayden Point |