Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.8%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Point leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 67.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 70.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Point
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Point
Rodrigues
Last 10: Point 7-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
1
Point
Rodrigues
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Point
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
47.8% (651)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
47.2% (72)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
36.8% (68)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Point
Rodrigues
Home
46.6% (264)
47.9% (445)
Away
46.4% (302)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Point
Rodrigues
P1
46.3%
48.3%
P2
45.5%
47.0%
P3
48.6%
44.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |