Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs McBain 46.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 84.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.4%
Neutral zone
Point 65.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Point
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Point
McBain
Last 8: Point 6-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Point
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
48.1% (2,322)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
44.6% (56)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
35.6% (309)
+2.9%
On power play, Point has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Point
McBain
Home
49.0% (3,754)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Point
McBain
P1
46.8%
47.1%
P2
51.3%
47.4%
P3
48.0%
45.4%
OT
52.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |