Brayden Point vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Pageau 59.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 62.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Point
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Point
Pageau
Last 7: Point 4-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Point
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
59.4% (726)
-13.5%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
69.0% (42)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
59.7% (221)
-39.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Point
Pageau
Home
46.6% (264)
58.4% (430)
Away
46.4% (302)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Point
Pageau
P1
46.3%
55.4%
P2
45.5%
61.8%
P3
48.6%
61.5%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |