Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Drouin 49.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.6%
Defensive zone
Drouin 51.4%
Neutral zone
Point 54.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Point
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Point
Drouin
Last 6: Point 3-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Drouin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
3
Point
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
47.5% (181)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
56.8% (44)
-6.8%
On power play, Drouin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Point
Drouin
Home
46.6% (264)
49.5% (97)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Point
Drouin
P1
46.3%
52.1%
P2
45.5%
51.5%
P3
48.6%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |