Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Toews 60.4% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 59.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 56.0%
Neutral zone
Point 53.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Point
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Point
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Point
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
62.6% (728)
-16.7%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
59.4% (143)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.9% (32)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Point
Toews
Home
46.6% (264)
61.1% (455)
Away
46.4% (302)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Point
Toews
P1
46.3%
59.7%
P2
45.5%
66.7%
P3
48.6%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |