Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 83.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.2%
Neutral zone
Point 58.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Point
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Point
Staal
Last 8: Point 3-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Point
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Point
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
56.3% (1,115)
-6.4%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
61.2% (67)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
52.1% (292)
-2.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Point
Staal
Home
53.3% (394)
58.3% (705)
Away
48.4% (428)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Point
Staal
P1
49.8%
54.5%
P2
53.0%
58.2%
P3
49.6%
54.1%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
50.7%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Brayden Point |