Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Hayes 47.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 63.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Point
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Point
Hayes
Last 10: Point 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
8
3
Point
Hayes
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
11
Point
Hayes
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
5
Point
Hayes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
47.6% (6,698)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
51.7% (702)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
45.4% (696)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,265).
Point shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
Point
Hayes
Home
49.0% (3,671)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Point
Hayes
P1
46.9%
47.5%
P2
51.2%
47.7%
P3
48.1%
47.9%
OT
52.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |