Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Komarov 47.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 60.2%
Defensive zone
Komarov 84.3%
Neutral zone
Komarov 66.1%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Point
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Point
Komarov
Last 6: Point 1-5 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Komarov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
3
Point
Komarov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
2
Point
Komarov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
48.6% (695)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
37.5% (16)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
45.6% (417)
-7.1%
On power play, Point has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,265).
Point shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Point
Komarov
Home
49.0% (3,671)
49.2% (537)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Point
Komarov
P1
46.9%
47.6%
P2
51.2%
47.3%
P3
48.1%
47.5%
OT
52.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |