Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 86.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Point
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Point
Kastelic
Last 10: Point 4-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
5
Point
Kastelic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
57.0% (1,635)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
80.0% (25)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
53.8% (279)
-15.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Kastelic is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Point
Kastelic
Home
49.0% (3,754)
58.7% (904)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Point
Kastelic
P1
46.8%
58.6%
P2
51.3%
56.5%
P3
48.0%
55.6%
OT
52.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Brayden Point |