Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.0%). Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Point
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Point
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Point
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
46.5% (919)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
48.7% (187)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (54)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Point
Scheifele
Home
46.6% (264)
46.6% (605)
Away
46.4% (302)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Point
Scheifele
P1
46.3%
52.3%
P2
45.5%
45.3%
P3
48.6%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |