Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs McTavish 49.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 61.9%
Defensive zone
Point 55.4%
Neutral zone
Point 58.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Point
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
McTavish
Last 5: Point 1-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Point
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
47.6% (618)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
58.3% (103)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (6)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Point
McTavish
Home
46.6% (264)
52.2% (391)
Away
46.4% (302)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Point
McTavish
P1
46.3%
50.2%
P2
45.5%
47.7%
P3
48.6%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |