Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Backlund 49.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 86.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Point
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
50.5% (944)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
51.5% (66)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.1% (297)
-27.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
46.6% (264)
48.1% (636)
Away
46.4% (302)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
46.3%
45.4%
P2
45.5%
54.1%
P3
48.6%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |