Brayden Point vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Point
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
49.7% (1,038)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
63.7% (157)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
34.4% (32)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Point
MacKinnon
Home
46.6% (264)
53.1% (618)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Point
MacKinnon
P1
46.3%
49.3%
P2
45.5%
53.0%
P3
48.6%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |