Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Dowd 48.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Point
Dowd
Last 7: Point 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
0
Point
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Point
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
51.0% (671)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
41.5% (224)
-21.5%
On power play, Point has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
46.6% (264)
48.2% (471)
Away
46.4% (302)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
46.3%
48.3%
P2
45.5%
46.8%
P3
48.6%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |