Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 91.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.2%
Neutral zone
Point 51.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
31
(60 meetings)
29
31
Point
Dowd
Last 10: Point 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
20
3
Point
Dowd
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
17
Point
Dowd
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
11
Point
Dowd
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
52.3% (6,036)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
56.1% (164)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
44.1% (1,638)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
49.0% (3,754)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
46.8%
51.5%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
48.0%
50.3%
OT
52.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |