Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Point leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 53.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 54.4%
Neutral zone
Point 53.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Point
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
Point
Foligno
Last 10: Point 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
8
2
Point
Foligno
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
10
Point
Foligno
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
8
6
Point
Foligno
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
48.3% (2,840)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
52.3% (731)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
44.0% (457)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Home / Away
Point
Foligno
Home
49.0% (3,754)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Point
Foligno
P1
46.8%
47.8%
P2
51.3%
50.5%
P3
48.0%
48.2%
OT
52.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |