Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 41-36 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 55.6%
Defensive zone
Point 51.7%
Neutral zone
Point 52.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Point
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
41
(77 meetings)
36
41
Point
Suzuki
Last 10: Point 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
11
10
Point
Suzuki
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
13
Point
Suzuki
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
17
18
Point
Suzuki
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
49.4% (6,368)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
50.8% (1,355)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
44.0% (466)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Point
Suzuki
Home
49.0% (3,754)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Point
Suzuki
P1
46.8%
48.9%
P2
51.3%
49.1%
P3
48.0%
50.3%
OT
52.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | OT | 03:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |