Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Point leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 58.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Point
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Point
Zacha
Last 10: Point 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
7
6
Point
Zacha
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
9
Point
Zacha
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
7
3
Point
Zacha
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
48.9% (5,156)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
55.7% (813)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
42.2% (557)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Point
Zacha
Home
49.0% (3,754)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Point
Zacha
P1
46.8%
49.9%
P2
51.3%
49.2%
P3
48.0%
48.2%
OT
52.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |