Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Greig 49.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 77.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 71.4%
Neutral zone
Point 59.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Point
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Point
Greig
Last 10: Point 3-7 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
3
Point
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
8
Point
Greig
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
6
Point
Greig
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
48.7% (1,144)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
56.8% (74)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
47.2% (178)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Point
Greig
Home
49.0% (3,754)
49.9% (688)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Point
Greig
P1
46.8%
46.0%
P2
51.3%
51.8%
P3
48.0%
49.1%
OT
52.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |