Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Hartman 45.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 75.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 63.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Point
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Point
Hartman
Last 10: Point 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Point
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Point
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
45.2% (4,279)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
47.3% (446)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
42.4% (262)
-3.9%
On power play, Point has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Point
Hartman
Home
49.0% (3,754)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Point
Hartman
P1
46.8%
46.1%
P2
51.3%
42.9%
P3
48.0%
46.7%
OT
52.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Brayden Point |