Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Poehling 48.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 78.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 86.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 62.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Point
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Point
Poehling
Last 7: Point 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Point
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
50.4% (680)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
38.8% (219)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Point
Poehling
Home
46.6% (264)
47.4% (422)
Away
46.4% (302)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Point
Poehling
P1
46.3%
53.3%
P2
45.5%
40.3%
P3
48.6%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |