Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Point leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 54.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 70.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Point
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Point
Steel
Last 10: Point 10-0 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
1
Point
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
4
1
Point
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
50.6% (2,876)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
62.6% (179)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
37.4% (254)
+1.1%
On power play, Steel has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Point
Steel
Home
49.0% (3,754)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Point
Steel
P1
46.8%
51.9%
P2
51.3%
49.5%
P3
48.0%
49.6%
OT
52.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Brayden Point |