Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Point leads 58-57 in 115 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 51.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.3%
Neutral zone
Point 51.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
57
(115 meetings)
58
57
Point
Aho
Last 10: Point 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
16
17
Point
Aho
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
16
22
Point
Aho
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
26
18
Point
Aho
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
50.2% (6,646)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.5% (465)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
49.0% (3,754)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
46.8%
51.1%
P2
51.3%
52.1%
P3
48.0%
50.8%
OT
52.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |