Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 64.6%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 65.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Point
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Point
Lorentz
Last 5: Point 4-1 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
0
Point
Lorentz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Point
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
51.4% (74)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.3% (26)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Point
Lorentz
Home
46.6% (264)
52.9% (68)
Away
46.4% (302)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Point
Lorentz
P1
46.3%
58.6%
P2
45.5%
45.0%
P3
48.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |