Brayden Point vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 73.7%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 61.5%
Neutral zone
Point 60.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Point
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Point
Lorentz
Last 8: Point 6-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
5
1
Point
Lorentz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Point
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
48.9% (1,125)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
50.0% (26)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
41.8% (91)
-3.3%
On power play, Point has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Lorentz is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Point
Lorentz
Home
49.0% (3,754)
50.6% (609)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Point
Lorentz
P1
46.8%
53.0%
P2
51.3%
46.7%
P3
48.0%
46.2%
OT
52.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |