Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Point
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Point
Thompson
Last 10: Point 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
3
Point
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
7
Point
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
9
8
Point
Thompson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
42.9% (3,540)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
46.9% (373)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
33.6% (265)
+4.9%
On power play, Point has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Point
Thompson
Home
49.0% (3,754)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Point
Thompson
P1
46.8%
44.4%
P2
51.3%
43.7%
P3
48.0%
40.0%
OT
52.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |