Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Lazar 58.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Schenn
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Lazar
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Schenn
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
63.5% (181)
-12.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
0.0% (1)
+63.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
56.3% (71)
+10.4%
On power play, Schenn has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lazar
Home
53.9% (412)
63.0% (135)
Away
53.3% (375)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Schenn
Lazar
P1
49.6%
64.6%
P2
52.0%
60.0%
P3
58.1%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
67.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |