Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.6%). Schenn wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.5% vs Cozens 53.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 55.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 54.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Schenn
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schenn
Cozens
Last 6: Schenn 3-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Schenn
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Cozens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (505)
52.9% (518)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.6% (99)
59.5% (79)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
77.8% (18)
33.3% (6)
+44.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Schenn is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schenn shoots left. Cozens is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Schenn
Cozens
Home
53.8% (331)
54.1% (331)
Away
54.3% (291)
52.9% (272)
By Period
Schenn
Cozens
P1
47.6%
56.3%
P2
52.7%
51.0%
P3
60.3%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.0%
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |