Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 69.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 57.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 65.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Schenn
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Schenn
Rodrigues
Last 9: Schenn 5-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Rodrigues
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Schenn
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Rodrigues
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
47.8% (651)
+3.7%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.2% (72)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
36.8% (68)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Schenn
Rodrigues
Home
53.9% (412)
47.9% (445)
Away
53.3% (375)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Schenn
Rodrigues
P1
49.6%
48.3%
P2
52.0%
47.0%
P3
58.1%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |