Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Nazar 47.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 78.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 76.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 82.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Schenn
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Schenn
Nazar
Last 7: Schenn 6-1 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
47.2% (574)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
51.0% (143)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
30.2% (43)
+36.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nazar
Home
53.9% (412)
45.0% (329)
Away
53.3% (375)
48.5% (431)
By Period
Schenn
Nazar
P1
49.6%
47.8%
P2
52.0%
43.4%
P3
58.1%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |