Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 82.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 70.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 65.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Schenn
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Schenn
Stenlund
Last 9: Schenn 3-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Schenn
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
4
Schenn
Stenlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
56.2% (650)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
53.2% (47)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
51.6% (312)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stenlund
Home
53.9% (412)
56.9% (483)
Away
53.3% (375)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Schenn
Stenlund
P1
49.6%
54.2%
P2
52.0%
53.2%
P3
58.1%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |