Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Eller 55.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 68.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schenn
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Schenn
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
56.0% (459)
-4.5%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
77.8% (9)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
51.9% (54)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
53.9% (412)
52.6% (215)
Away
53.3% (375)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
49.6%
54.1%
P2
52.0%
57.6%
P3
58.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |