Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Komarov 47.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 73.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 58.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.0%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Schenn
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Schenn
Komarov
Last 9: Schenn 5-4 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Komarov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
3
Schenn
Komarov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
48.6% (695)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
37.5% (16)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
45.6% (417)
+2.6%
On power play, Schenn has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Schenn
Komarov
Home
49.7% (5,075)
49.2% (537)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Schenn
Komarov
P1
48.8%
47.6%
P2
48.6%
47.3%
P3
48.3%
47.5%
OT
50.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |