Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 60.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Schenn
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schenn
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
53.3% (807)
-1.8%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.6% (42)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
46.3% (147)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Schenn
Zibanejad
Home
53.9% (412)
49.8% (466)
Away
53.3% (375)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Schenn
Zibanejad
P1
49.6%
52.9%
P2
52.0%
51.2%
P3
58.1%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |